Showing posts with label corona pendemic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label corona pendemic. Show all posts

Friday, April 30, 2021

Ensure your Financial Life is Covid-proof….. Matrix-1

Monitor your expenses….

It is essential to monitor your daily expenses carefully to understand your cash flow. The pandemic has made us rethink on our priorities. Begin by making a list of expenses that separately lists your discretionary expenses from fixed expenses.

Try to trim on non-essential recurring expenses. Understanding your expenses and how cutting it down can add up to your savings could help you build a stronger corpus for Emergency Fund, that holds up to 12 to 24 months of expenses including loan EMIs. You must initiate saving from your income first and then look at spending from the remaining balance.

Build up an emergency savings pot….

Another important way to Covid-proof your finances is to build up an emergency savings pot of cash – if you can. You will then have this to run your routine life, in case you lose your job, face an income cut, or have to deal with unexpected costs.

It’s a good idea, where possible, to build up between Six months to One year worth of outgoings. Keep this fund while summing up your liabilities on EMIs, Credit Card payments, rent, mobile bills, essential groceries etc. This money should be available immediately, so put it in an easy-access liquid account rather than one, where access to the money is restricted.

Writing a WILL is vital….

It also pays to make sure you have an uptodate will. If you die without one, known as dying intestate, your assets will be shared out according to applicable law, rather than according to your own wishes for your loved ones.

It is generally best to use a CA or Lawyer to help you write a tax-efficient will and meet your family’s specific needs, but if your will is simple, you could use a will template and put your wordings.

Focus on paying off debt….

Market financial research shows that 8 out of 10 people, have spent less money during lockdown, by not being able to spend on holidays, dining out or luxury shopping. Of those, 28% said, they would use the extra cash available to pay off credit card debt.

If you have multiple debts, an easy way to clear them more quickly is to put any spare money towards the debt with the highest interest rate first. Once that debt has been paid off, you can move on to the next highest interest rate, and so on. For those who don’t have any spare cash to throw at their debts, consider moving existing credit card debt, to a zero balance transfer credit cards this will give you a break from paying interest for a number of months.

Note that there will be a transfer fee to pay (often around 3% of the balance) and you’ll need to try and clear your balance before the period ends and interest is charged. You’ll also need a good credit score to be accepted for the best deals. Alternatively, you could look into consolidating your debt with a personal loan, at a cheaper rate of interest – again, the deal you’re offered will depend on your credit score. If you’re successful, you’ll be able to combine your debts into one monthly payment with one lender and, if the loan has a lower interest rate, save yourself a decent sum of money at the same time.

Protect your family thru Insurance….

Whether you are married, have children or other dependants, it’s important to ensure they would kept living good life, even if you become ill and had to stop working or if you died. Having life insurance in place will ensure your dependants receive a lump sum to help them pay bills and other costs if you die within the term of the policy. You can use a comparison site to get an idea of how much premiums will cost you each month – typically, the younger you are, the less you’ll pay. 

To be continued……..Written in public interest, to keep people finances remain COVID-proof, Author has tried to summarise his 22 years of experience of Financial Investment & Wealth Advisory.

contributed by :
CA Yogesh Birla
Director
Birla WP Management
read my blogs : www.YogeshBirlaCA.Blogspot.com





Thursday, June 4, 2020

Solar Energy Growth Drivers in India


In the era of Corona, we had bitter lessons due to our injustice done with mother-nature in various aspects and one of them is Pollution. Electricity generation from conventional sources is most polluting; wherein government has taken required steps and promoting Solar Power since year 2007. At present, India is one of the largest producers of electricity from renewable energy sources. As on 31st March 2020, out of total electricity installed capacity in India; 35.86% is share of renewable energy generation capacity. In last year, out of total electricity generated in India, 21.27% was thru renewable energy projects.

The Government of India thru Ministry of New and Renewable Energy is playing very proactive role in promoting the adoption of Solar energy generation by offering various incentives and subsidies for Industrial, commercial, institutional, residential, farmers, village installation. These includes Capital Subsidies, Operating Subsidies in Generation based incentives, Interest subsidies, Viability gap funding, preferred funding, fiscal incentives, captive consumption permissions etc.

Government had launched National Solar Mission to promote Solar Power Generation and usage by industries and consumers, with the ultimate objective of bringing solar power in parity with fossil fuel based conventional energy.  The core objective of Solar Mission is to reduce cost of per unit solar power in India in long term, aggressive research & development to bring better efficiency equipment, large scale manufacturing goals, domestic production of critical raw materials, products, components and allied products.

The government has created a positive environment for foreign investors thru FDI route for investment in Indian solar projects, in-turn achieving lowest cost of per unit solar power generation benefited Indian consumers and power discom. The establishment of best regulatory practices thru dedicated financial institution and nodal agencies to bring lowest cost of funds into solar power generation projects has made India gain its climate control mechanism on very higher levels. This has created wider brand equity of Indian Solar energy policies across the global investor forums. Solar power in India is becoming increasingly cost-competitive as compared to fossil fuel based generation, since the prices of solar panels have declined by almost 82% since year 2007.

RBI has advised for all scheduled commercial banks including solar power projects in the categories priority sector, in addition to existing categories, making significant inroads for solar energy projects for priority sector lending. Domestic funding made easy for industrial solar projects, solar rooftop projects, residential rooftop solar projects and large scale power generation projects.

Industrialists, Entrepreneurs, Investors and Residents shall make it a habit to use solar electricity, since generation of solar power is best solution to save carbon emission. Solar is on technological advancement stage with better efficiency panels available on lower cost. We shall focus on taking benefits of government solar priority funding, subsidies, incentives, equipment funding mechanism, rooftop installation with priority etc to make India self sustainable solar power generation destination.

Written by :
CA Yogesh Birla
Director
Birla WP Management
visit us at : www.YogeshBirlaCA.Blogspot.com


Monday, April 20, 2020

उद्योग एवं व्यापार ; लोकल से ग्लोबल प्रतिस्पर्धा..... कोरोना परिदृश्य

हम बात कर रहे है विश्व की सबसे भीषण चुनौती कोरोना महामारी के इस परिदृश्य में; कोरोना सिर्फ एक चिकित्सकीय बीमारी ही नही है, परंतु वैश्विक अर्थव्यवस्था को कई दशक पीछे ले जाने वाली भयानक आर्थिक बीमारी है हम इसको राजनीतिक या अन्य पहलू नही दे कर, सिर्फ उद्योगपति एवं व्यवसायी के हितों के अनुसार ही विवेचन करेंगे

कोरोना महामारी से पहले भी भारतीय व्यापार एवं उद्योग मंदी के दौर से गुजर रहा था यह मंदी सिर्फ हमारे देश की व्यवस्थाओं से नही, बल्कि वैश्विक व्यावसाई वातावरण से ज्यादा प्रभावित थी । बदलते समय के साथ भारत भी बदलता गया, वैश्विक व्यापार के माध्यम बदलते गए, परंतु नही बदला तो वो मध्यमवर्गीय व्यापारी एवं उद्योगपति, जो इस बदलाव की अनिवार्यता को समझ ही नही पाया दशकों से व्यापार करने वाले व्यवसायी ने सोचा कि उसकी व्यक्तिगत कुशलता ही उसके व्यापार संचालन का गूढ़ तत्व है, एवं उसने बदलती तकनीक, ऑनलाइन संचार साधनों आदि को अपनाना जरूरी नही समझा, एवं ट्रेडिशनल व्यापारी एवं उद्योगपति पिछड़ता गया

समय के साथ आगे बढ़ने हेतु उद्योगपतियों एवं व्यवसायियो को क्या करना पड़ेगा  :-

1.  उद्योगों के वैश्विक वातावरण का निरंतर अध्ययन जरूरी है
2.  अपने उत्पाद का कच्चा माल कहाँ सबसे सस्ता मिलता है, यदि विदेश से इम्पोर्ट जरूरी है तो प्रबंध करे
3.  श्रमिको के काम को मशीनों से कैसे करवाना है, इस हेतु चीन, जर्मनी आदि की तकनीकों का अध्ययन करें
4.  नवीनतम तकनीकों की मशीनों में निवेश करें
5.  गुणवत्ता पर सबसे अधिक ध्यान दे एवम रिसर्च का एक डिपार्टमेंट जरूर रखे
6.  नई पीढ़ी के बच्चो को यात्रा करने की आदत डलवाएं, उनको उद्योग मेलो में जा कर नई तकनीकों से अवगत होने को बाध्य करें
7.  ERP जैसे सॉफ्टवेयर्स द्वारा अपने उद्योगों को संचालित करें
8.  व्यवसाय को पारिवारिक वातावरण से निकल कर पेशेवर बनने हेतु फ्लेक्सिबल बने
9.  पुरातन आदतें छोड़ कर, अच्छे एडवाइजर, कंसलटेंट को उचित भुगतान कर उनकी राय को तवज्जो दीजिये, क्योंकि वह दुनिया भर के नए प्रयोगों को देखते है, एवम आपको सभी तरह से गाइड कर सकते है
10.  फाइनेंस मैनेजमेंट हेतु अच्छे निवेशकों एवं बैंको से सम्पर्क बनाये, एवम कम व्याज पर फण्ड लाने हेतु अच्छे फाइनेंसियल एडवाइजर अपॉइंट करें
11.  बैकवर्ड एवम फारवर्ड इंटीग्रेशन करके लागत को कम करें एवं वॉल्यूम को बढ़ाए
12.  अपनी टीम को समय समय पर ट्रेनिंग दे एवं स्किल को सुधारें
13.  व्यपारियो को अपना वितरण तंत्र सुधारना होगा, इसको ऑनलाइन मार्केटिंग कंपनियों जैसा बनाये
14.  फ़ास्ट डिलीवरी करने से वर्किंग कैपिटल पर ब्याज की बचत करे
15.  ग्राहकों की समस्याओं को सुनकर, तुरंत समाधान प्रदान करे, जैसा कि वैश्विक ऑनलाइन कंपनियां करती है
16.  क्लाउड सॉफ्टवेयर द्वारा माल की खरीद से वितरण तक कि परिधि बनाये
17.  अपना व्यापार एक ही जगह पर सीमित ना रखे, इसको अन्य जगहों पर भी फैलाये, एवं सॉफ्टवेयर द्वारा अपने मोबाइल से ही कंट्रोल करें
18.  अपने उत्पाद से संबंधित अन्य उत्पादों का भी व्यवसाय शुरू करे, जिससे बिक्री आसान होगी
19.  बैंको से वर्किंग कैपिटल लिमिट्स बनाते समय पेशेवर कंसल्टेंट्स की सहायता ले, जिससे लागत कम होगी, एवं फंड अधिक मिलेगा
20.  अधिक से अधिक डिजिटल माध्यमो का उपयोग करें
21.  रोज कुछ नया सीखने का प्रयास करें, एवम समयानुसार व्यावसायिक प्रैक्टिस को बदलें
22.  अन्य सुझाव उद्योग के अनुसार अलग अलग हो सकते हैं, इसकी केस स्टडी अच्छे बिज़नेस कंसलटेंट से करवाये


कोरोना एक त्रासदी है, परंतु कोरोना लॉकडाउन के इस समय को उपयोगी बनाये एवं नई सोच को जन्म दे आने वाला समय, बहुत ही प्रतिस्पर्धी समय है, अतः पहले से ही बहुत अधिक तैयारी से व्यवसाय का संचालन करना होगा अब आपकी प्रतिस्पर्धा बड़ी बड़ी ऑनलाइन कंपनियों, जैसे अमेज़न, फ्लिपकार्ट, अलीबाबा, ईबे एवम  वैश्विक घरानों से है आज 10 लाख के निवेश की फैक्ट्री में बनने वाले उत्पाद का सीधा कम्पटीशन 5 लाख करोड़ मार्किट वैल्यू की कंपनी से होता है, अतः उनके सिस्टम को निरंतर अध्ययन करें, अथवा उनको समझने वाले योग्य पेशेवर एडवाइजर को अपने व्यवसाय में साथ रखें, तो समय आपका है..... 

Written by :
CA Yogesh Birla
Director
Birla WP Management
visit us at : www.YogeshBirlaCA.blogspot.com

Wednesday, April 15, 2020

Effect on Industrial and House-hold earnings.....after Corona pandemic

These words shall be considered as people’s words, and not as an Economist words..... effect on Industry and house hold income, taking into account some very broad numbers, considering 3 months of India lockdown; (1.5 month complete lockdown, thereafter partial lockdown) and 1 or 2 months more before businesses and supply chains get back to its normal. God knows, what new normal operations will be after Corona, but let's say that it get back to 90% of the earlier capacity; not factoring any second wave of a pandemic in my analysis. If that happens, well the numbers below will be further disastrous.

Estimates to keep Indian GDP in positive % growth; this brings me to a subject of Tax collections :
--Direct Tax collections could he down by 25% (Lower corporate profits and Individual earnings)
--Indirect Tax collections could be down by 15% (complete supply chain disruption)
--State Tax collections eg. stamp duty, liquor levies, mining royalties etc. could be down by 15%


How the government will balance the book is again a big subject for another day, wherein today, I will try to estimate how people’s earnings and household incomes would be affected, will break it down in these categories :-

1. Farmers and farm laborers....could see 10 to 15% negative income and 5 to 10% job losses
2. Blue collar workers....5 to 15% job losses and zero incentives and wage increase. So 10% overall lower income for the year
3. White collar workers….. 5 to 10% job losses and reduction in some salaries and perks and almost no bonuses. So overall 10 to 15% lower earnings for the year.
4. Owners of small and medium businesses….Worst hit sector, most people I am speaking to are wondering If they will survive. Most estimated losses for the year, Some may do ok, but overall a 30 to 40% decline in income could be estimated.
5. Large corporation owners and shareholders….. If industry de-growth is at 15% minimum that may result in 20 to 40% lower profits in many segments, and losses in several other segments.
6. Individual service providers (Electricians, carpenters, 100s of other such providers) could also see a 20% lower income
7. Landlords lower earnings due to Residential rentals could drop by 10 to 20% and vacancy could rise by 10 to 15% due to lower number of people migrating within or outside their countries or home cities.
8. Commercial real estate rentals would decrease by 10% on average and vacancy rates could be higher by 10%. Retail rentals would be worst hit by about 15 to 25% and vacancy rates could be higher by 10 to 15%. Overall rental incomes of all segments point to 15 to 20% lower rental income for lease generating assets.
9. Savers would see lower returns on Fixed income products by about 15% with zero additional savings as a whole in the economy. Equity at best could be a flat year with no overall growth or at worst we could see a decline of 15% to 20% in the portfolios. Debt mutual funds would see increased defaults and hence at best give very poor returns.
10. Behavioral change going to happen in many sectors and People are understanding value of savings. People will save more and understand where those savings are getting deployed – mutual funds, insurance premiums, banks, bonds.


India is biggest hub of consumers and producers; with unique survival and balancing of economy, blessed with abundant natural resources, entrepreneurial skills, education level, talent, risk appetite, average working age of about 42 years and may more positive factors. 

India Emerging economy supported with so many strong fundamentals, still need increased flow of money in spending, to keep growth showing new higher numbers. COVID is pandemic, but after covid may have opportunities to grow faster. Entrepreneurs and people sitting at home in Lockdown, shall use this time to plan their positive contribution towards strong Indian economy, better utilization of available resources and develop best appetite for development risk, in pace with changing technology and consumer behavior. Indian businesses are known to change from worst to best……….. Lets prove it again in year 2020, with high hopes

by :
CA Yogesh Birla
Director
Birla WP Management
visit us at : www.YogeshBirlaCA.blogspot.com

Sunday, April 5, 2020

Corona and Emerging Indian Econony :

We are entering into recession period globally and the exception is likely to be India and China with ~2% GDP growth in 2020 which is way below  ~5 - 8% in the past several years.

For the benefit of all, I am sharing my perspective on such scenario on few aspects as below:

What will change during the slow down:
1. Spend on luxury will come down drastically
2. Long-term / Capital expenditure such as construction, technology will be almost cut to nil
3. Lifestyle expenditure such as salary, rent, infrastructure, entertainment will be minimised
4. Working capital will be under tremendous pressure. Businesses will go out of business especially those who are riding on borrowed working capital
5. New innovative business models will evolve

What will NOT change during the slow down:
1. People consumption on essentials will continue
2. Rise in Investment on ideas / technology solutions that will improve efficiency
3. Short-term trading businesses with healthy cash flow practices will thrive
4. Rise in investment on spiritual / self-learning practices
5. Value for money products / services will shine

What you should do as an individual:
1. Hold back any luxury / high risk investments where visibility of returns is difficult to predict
2. Minimise expenditure on the routine stuff - keep a watch on your lifestyle spend - ask the question, is it really necessary!
3. Develop yourself on improving competency and developing skills to become more sharper and efficient
4. Share the financial situation with your family members and educate them on the family financial position and the plans to improve
5. Invest - yes invest on the right things. History repeats. Take risks based on thorough research. This is not the time to follow tips.

What you should do as an Entrepreneur:
1. Take care of your employees - communicate more than ever. Be reasonable and transparent with them
2. Use the slow down to improve your processes / people
3. Invest in technology / systems that will accelerate your reach in adding value to your customers
4. Be frugal in working capital decisions and operating expenditure
5. Capital expenditure to be on hold unless there is clear visibility on the associated returns

Let us get smarter by helping ourselves and economy to bounce back stronger. We can discuss / interact / improve upon on any of the aspects.  I would be Happy to receive your thoughts / suggestions / ideas.


by :
CA Yogesh Birla
Director
Birla WP Management
visit us at : www.YogeshBirlaCA.blogspot.com